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With just weeks left before Election Day, Joe Biden holds a commanding lead over President Donald Trump in national polling, just as Hillary Clinton did in the run-up to the 2016 election.

But polling doesn’t tell the whole story.

In fact, according to Trump’s campaign, another important election metric suggests that Trump may not be trailing Biden as badly as polls show — or even at all.

What are the details?
According to the Washington Examiner, Republicans have made significant strides in their voter registration efforts, indicating that grassroots support for the president may be greater than what the polls depict.

Traditionally, voter registration is dominated by the Democratic Party.

However, Trump’s campaign has made significant inroads in battleground states that will be key to winning the election, even flipping one state completely.

From the Washington Examiner:

In Pennsylvania, the Republican Party has sliced the Democrats’ dominance with registered voters by nearly 200,000 since Election Day 2016. The Republicans also made up ground in North Carolina, reducing the Democrats’ superiority among registered voters by 243,000 compared to four years ago. In Florida, the GOP chopped the Democratic advantage by 154,000. In Iowa, the Republicans turned a nearly 15,000 voter registration deficit on March 1 into a 13,000 lead on Thursday.
The Trump campaign told the Examiner that the numbers indicate grassroots enthusiasm for Trump’s reelection.

“Part of voter registration is simply harnessing enthusiasm,” said Nick Trainer, the Trump campaign’s director of battleground strategy. “There is a knock-down, drag-out part of registering voters, and it’s time-consuming. But you can’t register them if they’re not enthused about your party or your candidate.”

Some of those newly registered Republican voters could be voters who were previously registered Democrats, but had long voted for Republican candidates.

But Charlie Gerow, a Republican operative, told the Examiner that such circumstances do not explain the significant shift in Pennsylvania, for example.

“Some of these registrations are, in fact, Democrat crossovers from people who have been voting Republican for a while,” Gerow explained. “Many are new registrants as well as a significant number who are registering Republican specifically because of Donald Trump voter registration.”

What did the Democratic Party say?
The Democratic National Committee dismissed the development, pointing to the fact that Democrats still lead voter registration in battleground states overall. DNC spokesman David Bergstein also told the Examiner, “We are beating them in voter participation.”

What do the polls show?
Currently, Biden leads Trump nationally by an average whopping 9-point margin, greater than any lead Clinton had on Trump in the weeks before the 2016 election.

Ultimately, the margin between Clinton and Trump shrunk to just a few points, which reflected the popular vote margin of 2.1% in Clinton’s favor.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: Biden is dominating Trump in the polls — but Trump’s campaign is making significant inroads where it matters: voter registration

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) fired back the perfect response to Democratic Sen. Richard Blumenthal on Sunday after the Connecticut lawmaker promised to boycott Amy Coney Barrett’s confirmation.

What did Blumenthal say?
In a lengthy Twitter rant, Blumenthal called Barrett’s nomination an “illegitimate sham process.” He claimed “Barrett’s views would harm real lives” — citing health care and female reproductive rights — and ultimately vowed to boycott her entire confirmation process.

“I will refuse to treat this process as legitimate & will not meet with Judge Amy Coney Barrett,” Blumenthal said.

How did Cruz respond?
The Texas senator said Blumenthal’s promise to boycott Barrett is not a bad thing. In fact, Cruz said it would be beneficial if every Democratic senator took the same position as Blumenthal.

That way, Barrett would be confirmed to the Supreme Court even quicker.

“Excellent idea! And if you & all your Dem colleagues boycott the hearing altogether, we’ll avoid the political circus & the desperate attempts to smear Judge Barrett and her family,” Cruz said. “And we’ll confirm her faster!”

Unfortunately for Cruz, Democrats, despite not having enough votes in the Senate to block Barrett’s nomination, are not going to stand by idly.

What are Democrats gonna do?
According to Politico, Senate Democrats are going to use every weapon in their arsenal to try and delay Barrett’s unstoppable confirmation.

From Politico:

Senate Democrats can’t stop Mitch McConnell from confirming a new Supreme Court justice, but they are already planning to make it as painful as possible. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has his caucus on board with an effort to disrupt and obstruct Senate Republicans, using a wide range of procedural tools to try to make it difficult for the Senate majority leader.

Interviews with more than a dozen Democratic senators revealed broad support for disrupting the Supreme Court confirmation process, even if the strategy yields some collateral damage. Yet Democrats facing tough reelections and those who typically spurn delay tactics overwhelmingly support the hardball campaign, potentially putting them at increased risk of losing their seats.

The options of disruptment include invoking the rarely-used “two-hour rule,” denying a quorum, calling points of order and motions to adjourn, delaying legislative business, and delaying the final Senate Judiciary Committee vote on Barrett, according to Politico.

“Process is everything. So if you’re going to use the process to try to steal an election, then we’re going to use the process to try to do everything for that not to happen,” Sen. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.) told Politico.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: ‘Excellent idea!’: Ted Cruz responds to Dem senator’s threat to boycott Amy Coney Barrett’s confirmation

After the tragic death of George Floyd rocked the nation, the Minneapolis City Council — which is composed of nearly all Democrats — took the lead in the anti-police movement, voting to defund the city’s police department. The council sought to replace traditional law enforcement with newer community-based, alternative forms of policing.

But as violent crime has plagued the city for months, the city council is now asking: “Where are the police?”

What’s the background?

As TheBlaze reported, the Minneapolis City Council passed a resolution in June to replace the city’s police department with an alternative “community safety” model.

The development came days after the council promised anti-police residents that they would completely dismantle the city’s policing system.

What is happening now?
During a two-hour meeting with Minneapolis Police Chief Medaria Arradondo this week, the Democratic city council, in brazen fashion, demanded to know why city police are not responding to the violence with enhanced law enforcement measures.

From Minnesota Public Radio:

The number of reported violent crimes, like assaults, robberies and homicides are up compared to 2019, according to MPD crime data. More people have been killed in the city in the first nine months of 2020 than were slain in all of last year. Property crimes, like burglaries and auto thefts, are also up. Incidents of arson have increased 55 percent over the total at this point in 2019.
“Residents are asking, ‘Where are the police?'” Councilman Jamal Osman said, MPR reported. “That is the only public safety option they have at the moment. MPD. They rely on MPD. And they are saying they are nowhere to be seen.”

Council President Lisa Bender, one of the loudest anti-police voices just months ago, claimed police are being “defiant,” according to MPR.

“This is not new,” she claimed.

Meanwhile, Phillipe Cunningham chided his colleagues for looking to the police for solutions when they called for the department’s abolition just a few months ago.

“What I am sort of flabbergasted by right now is colleagues, who a very short time ago were calling for abolition, are now suggesting we should be putting more resources and funding into MPD,” Cunningham said.

How was the response?

Arradondo told the council that he actually has taken measures to combat the spike in crime.

Arradondo explained that more officers have been added to patrols, additional resources have been allocated for investigative duties, and he has reiterated the seriousness of the crime issue with top department brass.

However, the department is also hemorrhaging personnel, Arradondo explained. In fact, more than 100 officers have left the department this year alone, more than double the usual number. With fewer officers, law enforcement becomes much more difficult.

Anything else?

As TheBlaze reported, momentum driving the push to disband the Minneapolis police department has dissipated because, as the Minneapolis City Council has learned, highly emotional rhetoric does not translate into functional policy.

“I think when you take a statement and then move into policy work, it gets more complicated,” Bender told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: After vowing to abolish police, Minneapolis City Council demands to know ‘Where are the police?’ as violence plagues the city

Some New York lawmakers are fed up with the power disparity held by Democratic leaders, and they’ve hatched a plan to neutralize the clear power imbalance.

What’s the background?

Although New York often gets a bad rap for being overwhelmingly liberal, much of the Empire State is not actually progressive.

But because the state’s population is concentrated in New York City and the surrounding area, the voice of upstate and rural residents often goes unheard.

What is the plan?
New York lawmakers, including state Sen. James Seward (R) and state Rep. John Salka (R), are looking to even the playing field.

They are co-sponsoring a plan to split New York into three autonomous regions, Gannett journalist Julie Sherwood reported.

The three proposed regions are:

  • The New York Region, including the five boroughs of New York City
  • The Montauk Region, including Long Island, Westchester, and Rockland
  • The New Amsterdam Region, encompassing the upstate

John Bergener Jr., chairman of the Divide New York State Caucus, has said the plan would strip the state government in Albany of “90 percent of its power,” reducing the governor — currently Democrat Andrew Cuomo — to essentially a figurehead, similar to the British monarch.
The plan would establish bi-cameral legislatures in each region, whose regional senators and assembly members would also serve in the New York State Assembly.

In theory, the division would create a power balance.

“New Amsterdam & Montauk regional governments would have the power to repeal these unnecessary NYS regulations and bad laws that are killing jobs,” Divide New York State Caucus explains, Sherwood reported. “While the New York regional government could enact those changes it wants for NYC only that upstate currently blocks.”

Seward said in a statement:

Downstate domination of the state legislature has become a serious problem, and the division of New York into multiple regions would help restore our upstate voice and values. The SAFE Act, bail reform, and farm policies, are just a few recent areas where New York City based politicians have strong-armed their beliefs into law over the objection of the rest of the state. As we work to rebound following the COVID-19 outbreak there are a number of upstate priorities — increased broadband, help for small businesses, lower taxes — that are not high on the list of downstate officials. Clearly, the time is right to thoroughly explore the idea of dividing New York State and I certainly hope that a majority of my colleagues and the voters will agree.

What are the legal roadblocks?
The bill has been introduced in both New York State Assembly chambers — SB 5416 and AB 5498 — but it currently remains in committee.

However, to become official, the New York state constitution would need to be amended.

Divide New York State Caucus said that splitting New York into multiple new states is “preferable” to creating autonomous zones within the Empire State, but would be a more difficult task because it would need the approval of the U.S. Congress.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: Newly introduced plan would split New York into three ‘autonomous regions,’ strip power from Democratic leaders

The vast majority of the nearly 6 million coronavirus diagnoses in the United States likely were not contagious, according to the New York Times.

Despite continued widespread COVID-19 panic, which includes many virus-related restrictions, up to 90% of individuals who have tested positive for COVID-19 potentially carried such “insignificant” amounts of the virus that they were not contagious, the Times reported.

What are the details?

The most widely used diagnostic test for COVID-19 is called the PCR test, which, according to the FDA, tests for the virus’ genetic material.

The problem with the test is that it only reports the presence of the genetic material being searched. It does not report the amount of genetic material, meaning individuals with such insignificant levels of COVID-19 genetic material will still test positive even if they aren’t really sick.

From the Times:

The PCR test amplifies genetic matter from the virus in cycles; the fewer cycles required, the greater the amount of virus, or viral load, in the sample. The greater the viral load, the more likely the patient is to be contagious. This number of amplification cycles needed to find the virus, called the cycle threshold, is never included in the results sent to doctors and coronavirus patients, although it could tell them how infectious the patients are. In three sets of testing data that include cycle thresholds, compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90 percent of people testing positive carried barely any virus, a review by The Times found.
Dr. Michael Mina, an epidemiologist at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, said testing thresholds are currently too sensitive. The problem, he told the Times, is akin to finding an individual hair in a room long after the person who was responsible for dropping the strand of hair had left.

The solution is to drop the cycle threshold used to determine whether an individual is infected.

Currently, the standard is 37 or 40 cycles, the Times reported. But Dr. Mina told the newspaper that it should be fewer than 30. Then, only individuals with 100 to 1,000 times the genetic material above the current standard would return a positive COVID-19 test result, Dr. Mina said.

Anything else?

Nearly six months after the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic, questions continue to rise over the extent of the viral problem.

The CDC, for example, released a report last week indicating that just 6% of Americans who are classified as having died from COVID-19 died solely from coronavirus.

That means that up to 94% of Americans who have died from the virus died because COVID-19 worsened the effects of other viruses, diseases, or comorbidities.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: Shock report: Up to 90% of COVID-positive Americans were possibly not even contagious

Police have arrested a suspect they say is responsible for the horrific crime.

Jose Reyes, 31, of the Bronx was arrested Sunday afternoon on charges of attempted rape, assault, and harassment, Chief of Detectives Rodney Harrison announced. Police apprehended Reyes in East Harlem, WNBC-TV reported.

“This heinous and horrendous act was interrupted by a good Samaritan who observed and got him to cease his behavior while subsequently videotaping the incident,” Harrison said.

View the original story below.

———

New York City police are frantically searching for a suspect who was caught on camera attempting to rape a woman in broad daylight.

What are the details?

The heinous incident happened Saturday around 11 a.m. on an Upper East Side subway platform. According to WNBC, the 25-year-old victim was waiting for her train when a man shoved her to the ground and began assaulting her.

Police said the man attempted to rape her in broad daylight, and only stopped when a crowd of bystanders confronted him. The witnesses, however, did not directly intervene; one man was seen in a video of the incident just staring in the direction of the suspect and victim.

Video shows the man get off the woman, pick up his sunglasses, turn toward the bystanders and mouth several words. It is not clear what the suspect said because the video released by the NYPD did not contain audio.

The victim suffered minor injuries, but refused medical assistance, police said.

The suspect, a black male with an afro and facial hair, fled the scene. Police are asking that anyone with information about the brazen attack to come forward or call 800-577-TIPS.

Abbey Collins, a spokesperson for the MTA, told WNBC, “This is disturbing and disgraceful. No one should ever have to experience this type of horrific attack in the transit system. The MTA is working closely with the NYPD to find the suspect and hold him accountable to the fullest extent of the law.”

What’s the background?

Amid the coronavirus pandemic and unrest in cities across America, New York City has been experiencing a record-setting crime wave this summer. Violence crime is up across the city, but shootings and homicides are experiencing the greatest year-over-year increase.

City leaders have responded by further slashing the police budget — not imposing law and order.

“We are reducing the size of our police force by not having the next recruit class. We are reducing our overtime levels. We’re shifting functions away from police to civilian agencies,” Mayor Bill de Blasio said in July, NPR reported.

“We think it’s the right thing to do. It will take work,” he added. “It will take effort and we’re going to be reforming that work in the meantime.”

Following the tragic death of George Floyd, progressive activists across the country called for police agencies to be defunded. Progressive leaders like de Blasio have responded by mostly obliging activist demands.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: Horrifying video shows man attempting to rape women in broad daylight in NYC, bystanders don’t intervene (UPDATED)

A caller who identified himself as a “lifelong Democrat” called in to C-SPAN on Monday after watching the first slate of speeches at the Republican National Convention and announced that he will be voting Republican this year.

“I’m a lifelong Democrat, I’m from Lorain, Ohio, which is a Democrat city in Ohio. And I just want to say after watching the convention tonight on TV, on C-SPAN here, I am definitely changing my vote to Republican,” said the caller, who identified himself as Rick.

“I tell you what, they just put the Democratic Party to shame. I’m going to follow the Republican Party now,” he continued.

When asked to explain what convinced him to change his mind, Rick explained the “heartfelt” message of the Republican speakers resonated with him deeply — especially their religious emphasis.

“It was the heartfelt way they came across to the American people, and I was really touched by the number of times they used the word ‘God.’ They put God into everything,” Rick explained. “The people on the Democratic side, at their convention, act like they were pushing God right out of it — and that had a lot to do with changing my mind.”

It is not clear how many “Ricks” exist. What is clear, however, is that, according to the latest ABC/YouGov poll, President Donald Trump is leading Joe Biden among independent voters — a significant positive for the Trump campaign — though Trump continues to trail Biden overall.

The first night of the RNC had a packed speaker schedule. Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, and Donald Trump Jr. were among the speakers.

As TheBlaze reported, Scott delivered a well-received and emotional speech in which he sought to inject hope into the election.

“Our family went from cotton to Congress in one lifetime. And that’s why I believe the next American century can be better than the last,” Scott said. “There are millions of families just like mine all across this nation, full of potential, seeking to live the American dream. And I’m here tonight to tell you that supporting the Republican ticket gives you the best chance of making that dream a reality.”

On Tuesday, first lady Melania Trump, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will headline the RNC.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: ‘Lifelong Democrat’ calls in to C-SPAN after watching RNC speeches — says he is now voting Republican

‘I think you’re correct in that we’ve seen this in other disease processes, too’

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Robert Redfield admitted last week that American hospitals may have monetary incentive to inflate coronavirus death counts.

During a hearing by the House Oversight and Reform Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Crisis on Friday, Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-Mo.) asked whether hospitals have “perverse incentive” to inflate COVID-19 fatality numbers.

Shockingly, Redfield admitted that they do.

“I think you’re correct in that we’ve seen this in other disease processes, too,” Redfield said.

“Really, in the HIV epidemic, somebody may have a heart attack but also have HIV — the hospital would prefer the [classification] for HIV because there’s greater reimbursement,” he explained. “So, I do think there’s some reality to that.”

“When it comes to death reporting, though, ultimately, it’s how the physician defines it in the death certificate, and … we review all of those death certificates. So I think, probably it is less operable in the cause of death, although I won’t say there are not some cases,” he continued. “I do think though [that] when it comes to hospital reimbursement issues or individuals that get discharged, there could be some play in that for sure.”

Debate has raged over whether coronavirus deaths are being counted accurately, and various studies have found conflicting conclusions.

More from the Washington Examiner:

A Yale study concluded that the overall coronavirus death toll in the United States is a “substantial undercount” of the actual number; White House coronavirus response team member Dr. Deborah Birx suggested in May that deaths are being overcounted by 25%.

There appear to be cases where the opposite has happened. An investigation in Florida found that several deaths were wrongly attributed to the virus, including the case of a man who died from a gunshot wound to the head.

The CDC’s website lists over 3,700 coronavirus deaths characterized as “intentional and unintentional injury, poisoning and other adverse events.” In Texas, more than 3,000 people were recently removed from the overall coronavirus count because they were never actually tested but considered “probable” cases.

Still, it may never be possible to get an accurate count of deaths or cases, considering not everyone who contracts the disease is tested.

Indeed, antibody tests continually show that a significant portion of the population has likely contracted COVID-19, yet never knew they had the virus.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: CDC director admits hospitals have monetary ‘incentive’ to inflate coronavirus death count

Orlando news station WOFL-TV has uncovered a major discrepancy in Florida’s coronavirus statistics.

According to WOFL, the Florida Department of Health has said that “countless” coronavirus testing sites across The Sunshine State have reported a near 100% positivity rate — which means every single person tested was positive— while other laboratories have reported extremely high positivity rates.

But reporters for WOFL reached out to many of those testing sites — and discovered the official figures do not reflect reality.

For example, state data showed that Orlando Health, a local hospital, had a 98% COVID-19 positivity rate. But when WOFL reached out to the hospital, hospital officials said their positivity rate is only 9.4%.

State reports also claimed Orlando VA Medical Center had a positivity rate of 76% — but the hospital told WOFL its positivity rate is only 6%.

The Florida Department of Health blamed the discrepancy on labs they claim are not immediately reporting testing results.

“The Department immediately began working with those labs to ensure that all results were being reported in order to provide comprehensive and transparent data,” a spokesperson for the Florida Department of Health told WOFL. “As the state continues to receive results from various labs, the Department will continue educating these labs on proper protocol for reporting COVID-19 test results.”

The revelation is especially significant right now as Florida experiences a surge in cases. The mainstream media is dedicating special attention to Florida, suggesting that its early reopening is responsible for the spike.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: Florida department of health exposed for massively overreporting positive COVID-19 cases

‘The one who scares me the most in the general is…’

Although Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) is not the front-runner for the Democratic presidential nomination, she is reportedly the candidate whom the Trump campaign fears most.

“The one who scares me the most in the general is Kamala Harris,” a top Trump campaign official told the Washington Times this week.

“The top candidates are all flawed candidates, but the least flawed is Kamala Harris,” the official, who the Times described as a “key player” in the campaign, explained.

Unfortunately for Harris, mediocre debate performances have tempered her campaign’s momentum through the summer months after surging through the spring. Harris launched her campaign amid widespread Democratic enthusiasm in January, drawing a campaign kickoff crowd of roughly 20,000 people — a larger crowd than what then-Sen. Barack Obama drew in 2008 when launching his presidential campaign.

Harris currently stands fourth among the crowded field of Democrats behind front-runner Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

However, Harris stands to gain the most through the fall and into the primary season early next year.

Enthusiasm for Biden has already begun waning over continues gaffes and his political history. Meanwhile, although Warren is surging, both she and Sanders are seen as far-left socialists. Both candidates will be a tough sell for most Americans who are much closer to the political center than the far-left.

Harris is perhaps the most moderate top Democrat competing for the nomination, which will undoubtedly help her when Democrats hit the polls next year. In fact, Harris admitted last month that part of her campaign strategy thus far has included holding close to her campaign promises.

“I’m not churning out plans like a factory because it is really important to me that any plan that I’m prepared to implement is actually doable,” she said.

Indeed, if America learned anything in 2016, it is that the most politically-savvy candidate will be victorious despite what polls predict.

Author: Chris Enloe

Source: The Blaze: Top Trump campaign official reveals which 2020 Dem the Trump campaign fears most

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